We have had
fight and unrest in Yemen for the last five years. Since 2011 revolution we had
power cuts and fuel shortages. But with all that unrest, the situation has
never ever reached same level as today humanitarian crisis.
The cause of
this crisis is mainly if not only is the Saudi interference and its coalition
attack on Yemen.
With
previous unrest in Yemen, we still had ships of fuel and food and medical supplies
coming to Yemen normally, but now with the Saudi air, land, sea blockade and
destruction of airport and ports, all exportation has stopped.
What made
this humanitarian crisis reach a dangerous level never seen before in Yemen is
that the Saudi aggression has targeted airports, ports, roads, bridges, power
lines, oil trucks, wheat silos, hospitals, medical center, food trucks, power
station, petrol/gas station, food factory, chicken farms, schools, mosques,
residential blocks, neighborhoods, heritage sites and all kind of
infrastructure across the country.
What was
surprising is that Saudi and its main partner and weapons supplier, in this
attack on Yemen, the United State, has declared a ceasefire staring from 12 of
May for humanitarian aid to be able to reach Yemen!!
Why did the
Saudi and US announced this ceasefire now and not before?
Why did the
Saudi, US and UK refused the Russian humanitarian ceasefire a week ago?
Why the need
for a ceasefire when the Saudi aggression is the only side that start this war
while Yemen hasn’t fired a single bullet at the Saudi for 40 days( 47 days for
this aggression).So if Saudi stop their blockade then food, medicine and oil
can reach Yemen easily in a matter of hours by letting seized ships, by the
Saudi, to reach Yemeni ports.
It’s clearly
that the Saudi and the US are planning to continue bombing Yemen using this
ceasefire as a new excuse.
The Saudi
want to use this ceasefire to establish the cause of the collapse of its
military force south of the country in front of Yemeni tribal fighters
especially in Najran and Jizan. This was the result after Yemeni tribesmen
attacked all Saudi army bases across the border, to stop the constant 40 days of shelling of
their home and farms from those Saudi army bases.
This
ceasefire is a cover up for a new operation in Yemen which will be led by
Saudi, fully supported and with even direct involvement of the United State.
The coalitions want the Houthis to be blamed for the entire humanitarian crisis
especially after human right watch and many humanitarian agencies have blamed
the Saudi and its blockade for the crisis in Yemen.
Stage
one:
When the ceasefire
starts tomorrow on the 12 of May, The Saudi will make sure that its loyal
Yemeni militia and extremist will continue their attack on the Houthis and the
Yemeni army. So it’s expected that the Houthis and Yemeni army will response
and fight back to any attack on them, then the Saudi and the US will announce
to the world that the Houthis has broking the ceasefire and they are to blame
for obstructing humanitarian aid from reaching Yemen. From here the Saudi has
created a new legitimacy(similar to Hadi legitimacy) to continue its attack on
Yemen in the sake of helping Yemenis to get humanitarian aid and supplies in
areas Houthis control!
Main powers
like US, UK, France and others with the support of the UNSC resolution 2216,
will fully support KSA in its effort to RESTORE HOPE for the Yemeni people.
Stage
two:
After
militia loyal to Saudis in Yemen has lost most of its grounds in Aden, Abyan, Shabwa,
Taiz and Marib, With constant advance by popular committees(mainly houthis) and
Yemeni army in the rest of the areas Saudis loyalist still have ground in.
At this
stage The Saudi coalition will announced the urgent need to establish save
zones/areas in Yemen to make sure badly needed humanitarian aid can reach the
Yemeni hopeless people. Now we know why the Saudi called their second stage of
the aggression “Restoring Hope”.
The only
area still out of reach of the popular committees and Yemeni army is Hadhramaut
south east Yemen. With about 350KM Arabian Sea coast line, Hadhramaut has
hiding oil and mineral resources. The Saudi has been trying to separate this
province from the rest of Yemen by the six region plan which was forced by Hadi
into Yemeni new constitution. For the last several years, with the help of many
Saudi business men with origin from Hadhramaut, KSA has been giving Saudi
residency cards to tribes across this province, in the hope of gaining their
loyalties and maybe making this province a part of KSA in the future.
This
province, which is under the control of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AKA
AQAP) and tribesmen loyal to Saudi, has not been targeted or hit by the
coalition, even though its capital Mukkala is controlled by AQAP. The Saudi
coalition with the help of United State and its allies will start first steps
to set foot on Hadhramaut, by sending ground troops under the name of creating
a save zone for humanitarian missions. The center for these troops will be the
city of Say'un 360km from Mukkala, the capital of the Hadhramaut. Hadi and his
cabinet will then be moved from Riyadh to Say'un to make the Saudi/US new plan
for this province a Yemeni-Yemeni matter.
The direct
involvement for the United State and its allies like the United Kingdom will
be
in the name of war on terror. We all know the existence of AQAP in Hadhramaut
especially in its capital Mukkala. With same reason they used in the invasion
of Afghanistan and Iraq, The US and UK will send small ground troops (special
force) or as they call it “military advisors” to help “Hadi legitimacy”,
tribesmen and with help of the coalition troops, to get back Mukkala from the
Hand of AQAP.
It’s likely
that those AQAP fighters will be pushed back towards Al-Mahrah east Yemen and
Towards Oman which has good relation with Iran. This could be as a punishment
for Oman and its stand with Iran and against the war on Yemen.
When the dust
settles, the entire Hadhramaut province will be in the hand of Saudi and its
loyalist. Now the Saudi and US can start their long planned project to set up
an oil pipe line which will bring Gulf oil to the Arabian sea. This pipe line
can make Gulf oil (30% of world oil) reach anywhere without using the strait of
Bab-el-Mandeb and Hormuz or the Suez Canal in Sinai Peninsula, which is likely
to fall in the hand of ISIS terrorist in the nearby future and this will threat
oil export from the gulf to Europe.
The Saudi
and the US isn’t interested in the welfare of Yemenis and all they interested
in is how to get the Gulf oil exportation out of the reach of Iran in Hormuz
Strait.
The control
of Hadhramaut could be a small step in US and Israel major plan to attack the
only country stand against their interest in the region and threaten Israel
which is the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Finally,
Many might
say this ceasefire can’t be as a deception for a major plan for the entire
region as I explained in this article, but who would have thought that the US
and Saudi involvement in creating Jihadists and AQAP in Afghanistan will cause
the destruction of many countries like Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen and soon Egypt.
All this is
in the interest of the State of Israel on occupied Palestine. And it will be up
to Yemeni People to prevent this entire plan from happening by defeating the
only cause of this crisis which is The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
By Hussain Albukhaiti
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